Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000686 0.000785 0.000891 0.001010 0.001143 0.001283 0.001444
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000533 0.000671 0.000828 0.001019 0.001242 0.001494 0.001797
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000433 0.000584 0.000764 0.000991 0.001269 0.001593 0.001998
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000356 0.000511 0.000705 0.000960 0.001282 0.001671 0.002169
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000309 0.000468 0.000675 0.000958 0.001325 0.001779 0.002375
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000271 0.000433 0.000651 0.000957 0.001367 0.001884 0.002577
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000236 0.000397 0.000622 0.000947 0.001392 0.001967 0.002750
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000204 0.000362 0.000590 0.000929 0.001405 0.002031 0.002899
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000188 0.000349 0.000587 0.000951 0.001470 0.002166 0.003142
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000173 0.000335 0.000582 0.000968 0.001529 0.002291 0.003375
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000152 0.000309 0.000556 0.000951 0.001539 0.002350 0.003520
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000132 0.000283 0.000528 0.000930 0.001539 0.002393 0.003642
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.000268 0.000517 0.000934 0.001577 0.002493 0.003846
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.000256 0.000510 0.000945 0.001626 0.002608 0.004074
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000233 0.000482 0.000918 0.001616 0.002637 0.004181
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000211 0.000453 0.000889 0.001600 0.002656 0.004274
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000199 0.000441 0.000887 0.001625 0.002736 0.004454
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000188 0.000431 0.000886 0.001653 0.002820 0.004641
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000176 0.000416 0.000876 0.001664 0.002878 0.004791
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000162 0.000398 0.000860 0.001664 0.002918 0.004915
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000159 0.000400 0.000880 0.001725 0.003054 0.005184
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000155 0.000400 0.000896 0.001779 0.003179 0.005439
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000144 0.000384 0.000881 0.001779 0.003221 0.005567